11.3: Normal Probability Plots (2024)

  1. Last updated
  2. Save as PDF
  • Page ID
    25692
  • \( \newcommand{\vecs}[1]{\overset { \scriptstyle \rightharpoonup} {\mathbf{#1}}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\vecd}[1]{\overset{-\!-\!\rightharpoonup}{\vphantom{a}\smash{#1}}} \)

    \( \newcommand{\id}{\mathrm{id}}\) \( \newcommand{\Span}{\mathrm{span}}\)

    ( \newcommand{\kernel}{\mathrm{null}\,}\) \( \newcommand{\range}{\mathrm{range}\,}\)

    \( \newcommand{\RealPart}{\mathrm{Re}}\) \( \newcommand{\ImaginaryPart}{\mathrm{Im}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\Argument}{\mathrm{Arg}}\) \( \newcommand{\norm}[1]{\| #1 \|}\)

    \( \newcommand{\inner}[2]{\langle #1, #2 \rangle}\)

    \( \newcommand{\Span}{\mathrm{span}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\id}{\mathrm{id}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\Span}{\mathrm{span}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\kernel}{\mathrm{null}\,}\)

    \( \newcommand{\range}{\mathrm{range}\,}\)

    \( \newcommand{\RealPart}{\mathrm{Re}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\ImaginaryPart}{\mathrm{Im}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\Argument}{\mathrm{Arg}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\norm}[1]{\| #1 \|}\)

    \( \newcommand{\inner}[2]{\langle #1, #2 \rangle}\)

    \( \newcommand{\Span}{\mathrm{span}}\) \( \newcommand{\AA}{\unicode[.8,0]{x212B}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\vectorA}[1]{\vec{#1}} % arrow\)

    \( \newcommand{\vectorAt}[1]{\vec{\text{#1}}} % arrow\)

    \( \newcommand{\vectorB}[1]{\overset { \scriptstyle \rightharpoonup} {\mathbf{#1}}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\vectorC}[1]{\textbf{#1}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\vectorD}[1]{\overrightarrow{#1}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\vectorDt}[1]{\overrightarrow{\text{#1}}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\vectE}[1]{\overset{-\!-\!\rightharpoonup}{\vphantom{a}\smash{\mathbf {#1}}}} \)

    \( \newcommand{\vecs}[1]{\overset { \scriptstyle \rightharpoonup} {\mathbf{#1}}}\)

    \( \newcommand{\vecd}[1]{\overset{-\!-\!\rightharpoonup}{\vphantom{a}\smash{#1}}} \)

    The distributions you have seen up to this point have been assumed to be normally distributed, but how do you determine if it is normally distributed? One way is to take a sample and look at the sample to determine if it appears normal. If the sample looks normal, then most likely the population is also. Here are some guidelines that are use to help make that determination.

    Normal quantile plot (or normal probability plot): This plot is provided through statistical software on a computer or graphing calculator. If the points lie close to a line, the data comes from a distribution that is approximately normal. If the points do not lie close to a line or they show a pattern that is not a line, the data are likely to come from a distribution that is not normally distributed.

    To create a normal quantile plot on the TI-83/84

    1. Go into the STAT menu, and then Chose 1:Edit
      11.3: Normal Probability Plots (2)
      Figure 11.3.10: STAT Menu on TI-83/84
    2. Type your data values into L1. If L1 has data in it, arrow up to the name L1, click CLEAR and then press ENTER. The column will now be cleared and you can type the data in.
    3. Now click STAT PLOT (\(2^{\text { nd }} Y=\)). You have three stat plots to choose from.
      11.3: Normal Probability Plots (3)
      Figure 11.3.11: STAT PLOT Menu on TI-83/84
    4. Use 1:Plot1. Press ENTER.
    5. Put the cursor on the word On and press ENTER. This turns on the plot. Arrow down to Type: and use the right arrow to move over to the last graph (it looks like an increasing linear graph). Set Data List to L1 (it might already say that) and set Data Axis to Y. The Mark is up to you.
      11.3: Normal Probability Plots (4)
      Figure 11.3.12: Plot1 Menu on TI-83/84 Setup for Normal Quantile Plot
    6. Now you need to set up the correct window on which to graph. Click on WINDOW. You need to set up the settings for the x variable. Xmin should be -4. Xmax should be 4. Xscl should be 1. Ymin and Ymax are based on your data, the Ymin should be below your lowest data value and Ymax should be above your highest data value. Yscl is just how often you would like to see a tick mark on the y-axis.
    7. Now press GRAPH. You will see the normal quantile plot.
    Example 11.3.1 is it normal?

    In Kiama, NSW, Australia, there is a blowhole. The data in table #6.4.1 are times in seconds between eruptions ("Kiama blowhole eruptions," 2013). Do the data come from a population that is normally distributed?

    83 51 87 60 28 95 8 27
    15 10 18 16 29 54 91 8
    17 55 10 35 47 77 36 17
    21 36 18 40 10 7 34 27
    28 56 8 25 68 146 89 18
    73 69 9 37 10 82 29 8
    60 61 61 18 169 25 8 26
    11 83 11 42 17 14 9 12
    Table 11.3.1: Time (in Seconds) Between Kiama Blowhole Eruptions
    1. State the random variable
    2. Draw the normal scatterplot.
    3. Do the data come from a population that is normally distributed?

    Solution

    a. x = time in seconds between eruptions of Kiama Blowhole

    b. The normal scatterplot is in Figure 11.3.15.

    11.3: Normal Probability Plots (5)

    Figure 11.3.15: Normal Probability Plot

    This graph looks more like an exponential growth than linear.

    c. Considering the histogram is skewed right, there are two extreme outliers, and the normal probability plot does not look linear, then the conclusion is that this sample is not from a population that is normally distributed.

    Example 11.3.2 is it normal?

    One way to measure intelligence is with an IQ score. Example 11.3.2 contains 50 IQ scores. Determine if the sample comes from a population that is normally distributed.

    78 92 96 100 67 105 109 75 127 111
    93 114 82 100 125 67 94 74 81 98
    102 108 81 96 103 91 90 96 86 92
    84 92 90 103 115 93 85 116 87 106
    85 88 106 104 102 98 116 107 102 89
    Table 11.3.2: IQ Scores
    1. State the random variable.
    2. Draw the normal scatterplot.
    3. Do the data come from a population that is normally distributed?

    Solution

    a. x = IQ score

    b. The normal scatterplot is in Figure 11.3.18.

    11.3: Normal Probability Plots (6)

    This graph looks fairly linear.

    c. Considering the histogram is somewhat symmetric, there are no outliers, and the normal probability plot looks linear, then the conclusion is that this sample is from a population that is normally distributed.

    Hypothesis Test on Normality:

    A Normal Probability Plot is a scatterplot that show the relationship between a data value (\(x\)-value) and its predicted z-score (\(y\)-value). If the normal probability plot shows a linear relationship and a hypothesis test for \( \rho \) shows that there is a linear relationship, we can assume the population is approximately normal. (Recall from Section 11.3, if two variables do show a linear relationship, then \( \rho \neq 0 \).)

    Homework

    Exercise 11.3.1
    1. Cholesterol data was collected on patients four days after having a heart attack. The data is in Example 11.3.3. Determine if the data is from a population that is normally distributed.
      218 234 214 116 200 276 146
      182 238 288 190 236 244 258
      240 294 220 200 220 186 352
      202 218 248 278 248 270 242
      Table 11.3.3: Cholesterol Data Collected Four Days After a Heart Attack
    2. The size of fish is very important to commercial fishing. A study conducted in 2012 collected the lengths of Atlantic cod caught in nets in Karlskrona (Ovegard, Berndt & Lunneryd, 2012). Data based on information from the study is in Example 11.3.4. Determine if the data is from a population that is normally distributed.
      48 50 50 55 53 50 49 52
      61 48 45 47 53 46 50 48
      42 44 50 60 54 48 50 49
      53 48 52 56 46 46 47 48
      48 49 52 47 51 48 45 47
      Table 11.3.4: Atlantic Cod Lengths
    3. The WHO MONICA Project collected blood pressure data for people in China (Kuulasmaa, Hense & Tolonen, 1998). Data based on information from the study is in Example 11.3.5. Determine if the data is from a population that is normally distributed.
      114 141 154 137 131 132 133 156 119
      138 86 122 112 114 177 128 137 140
      171 129 127 104 97 135 107 136 118
      92 182 150 142 97 140 106 76 115
      119 125 162 80 138 124 132 143 119
      Table 11.3.5: Blood Pressure Values for People in China
    4. Annual rainfalls for Sydney, Australia are given in Example 11.3.6. ("Annual maximums of," 2013). Can you assume rainfall is normally distributed?
      146.8 383 90.9 178.1 267.5 95.5 156.5 180
      90.9 139.7 200.2 171.7 187.2 184.9 70.1 58
      84.1 55.6 133.1 271.8 135.9 71.9 99.4 110.6
      47.5 97.8 122.7 58.4 154.4 173.7 118.8 88
      84.6 171.5 254.3 185.9 137.2 138.9 96.2 85
      45.2 74.7 264.9 113.8 133.4 68.1 156.4
      Table 11.3.6: Annual Rainfall in Sydney, Australia
    Answer

    1. Normally distributed

    3. Normally distributed

    11.3: Normal Probability Plots (2024)

    FAQs

    What is a good normal probability plot? ›

    In a normal probability plot (also called a "normal plot"), the sorted data are plotted vs. values selected to make the resulting image look close to a straight line if the data are approximately normally distributed. Deviations from a straight line suggest departures from normality.

    What is assessing normality normal probability plots? ›

    i) Normal Probability Plots: Look for the observations to fall reasonably close to the green line. Strong deviations from the line indicate non- normality. The observations fall very close to the line. There is very little indication of non-normality.

    How to interpret a probability plot? ›

    Probability plots may be useful to identify outliers or unusual values. The points located along the probability plot line represent “normal,” common, random variations. The points at the upper or lower extreme of the line, or which are distant from this line, represent suspected values or outliers.

    How to interpret a normal plot of residuals? ›

    Normal probability plot of residuals
    1. S-curve implies a distribution with long tails.
    2. Inverted S-curve implies a distribution with short tails.
    3. Downward curve implies a right-skewed distribution.
    4. A few points lying away from the line implies a distribution with outliers.

    How to tell if a normal probability plot is skewed? ›

    Right Skew - If the plotted points appear to bend up and to the left of the normal line that indicates a long tail to the right. Left Skew - If the plotted points bend down and to the right of the normal line that indicates a long tail to the left.

    What is the normal probability plot used to check? ›

    A normal probability plot is a scatterplot of the ranked data values on one axis and the probability that those values come from a normal distribution on the other axis. It can be used to check normality because the points will be close to a horizontal line near 1 if the data are approximately normal.

    What is the normal probability plot of the effect estimates? ›

    The normal probability plot of the effects shows the standardized effects relative to a distribution fit line for the case when all the effects are 0. The standardized effects are t-statistics that test the null hypothesis that the effect is 0.

    How is a normal probability plot used to detect outliers? ›

    The line is constructed between observed variable values and normal scores. Outliers and odd values are detected using the probability plot. Normal values are those that fall along the probability line. Outliers are data values that exist outside the pattern (line) of the data.

    What is a good normality test? ›

    The two well-known tests of normality, namely, the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test and the Shapiro–Wilk test are most widely used methods to test the normality of the data. Normality tests can be conducted in the statistical software “SPSS” (analyze → descriptive statistics → explore → plots → normality plots with tests).

    How do you interpret a normal probability plot in SPSS? ›

    As long as the points follow approximately along the diagonal line, conclude that the data is approximately normally distributed. If the points have a distinct curvature, then the data is likely to be skewed. If the points follow an “S-curve” shape, then the data is likely to be uniform (flat).

    What is a normal probability plot quantile? ›

    The normal probability plot is one type of quantile-quantile (Q-Q) plot. A Normal Probability Plot compares the values in a data set (on the vertical axis) with their associated quantile values derived from a standardized normal distribution (on the horizontal axis).

    What is the p value of the normality plot? ›

    If the p value (probability) for the Anderson-Darling statistic is less than 0.05, there is statistical evidence that the data are not normality distributed. If the p value is greater than 0.20, the conclusion is that the data are normally distributed. More data might be needed for values of p between 0.05 and 0.20.

    What is the purpose of constructing a normal probability plot? ›

    A normal probability plot is a graphical technique to assess whether a dataset follows a normal distribution. It plots the quantiles of the dataset against the quantiles of a standard normal distribution. If the data points follow an approximately straight line, it suggests the data is normally distributed.

    What is the importance of probability plot? ›

    Probability plots can be useful for checking this distributional assumption. The probability plot is demonstrated in the uniform random numbers case study. Most general purpose statistical software programs support probability plots for at least a few common distributions.

    What is a normal quantile probability plot? ›

    A normal probability plot, or more specifically a quantile-quantile (Q-Q) plot, shows the distribution of the data against the expected normal distribution.

    What is a normal probability plot in Six Sigma? ›

    A normal probability plot is a graphical technique to assess whether a dataset follows a normal distribution. It plots the quantiles of the dataset against the quantiles of a standard normal distribution. If the data points follow an approximately straight line, it suggests the data is normally distributed.

    What is a heavy tailed normal probability plot? ›

    Heavy-tailedness: If the right (upper) end of the normality plot bends above a hypothetical straight line passing through the main body of the X-Y values of the probability plot, while the left (lower) end bends below it, then the population distribution from which the data were sampled may be heavy-tailed.

    Top Articles
    Latest Posts
    Article information

    Author: Annamae Dooley

    Last Updated:

    Views: 5555

    Rating: 4.4 / 5 (45 voted)

    Reviews: 84% of readers found this page helpful

    Author information

    Name: Annamae Dooley

    Birthday: 2001-07-26

    Address: 9687 Tambra Meadow, Bradleyhaven, TN 53219

    Phone: +9316045904039

    Job: Future Coordinator

    Hobby: Archery, Couponing, Poi, Kite flying, Knitting, Rappelling, Baseball

    Introduction: My name is Annamae Dooley, I am a witty, quaint, lovely, clever, rich, sparkling, powerful person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.